Wednesday, January 2, 2013

"The Darkling Thrush"

Song thrush in snow with apples

Photograph by iStockphoto.

Hope is not an easy word to use well, in poetry or out of it. Evoking hope too easily can feel kind of glib or damp; saying there is none, though the opposite, can feel sentimental in a similar way. The right shade of belief and doubt can seem impossible to express.

In his great poem for a new year, ?The Darkling Thrush,? Thomas Hardy gets that kind of meaning right, I think. Hardy says he ?could think? of a ?blessed hope? of which he is ?unaware.?

The moving precision of those qualifications would not be enough in itself: The formulations gain conviction from the presence of the thrush?possibly the most charming bird ever described in words.

As with Hardy's ?The Oxen? for Christmas, in a Slate tradition here is Hardy's poem?which he dated Dec. 31, 1900?reflecting on the turning of a century, as well as a year.

Click the arrow on the audio player to?hear?Robert Pinsky?read this poem. You can also download the recording or subscribe to Slate's Poetry Podcast on iTunes.

I leant upon a coppice gate
??? When Frost was spectre-gray,
And Winter's dregs made desolate
??? The weakening eye of day.
The tangled bine-stems scored the sky
??? Like strings of broken lyres,
And all mankind that haunted nigh
??? Had sought their household fires.

The land's sharp features seemed to be
??? The Century's corpse outleant,
His crypt the cloudy canopy,
??? The wind his death-lament.
The ancient pulse of germ and birth
??? Was shrunken hard and dry,
And every spirit upon earth
??? Seemed fervorless as I.

At once a voice arose among
??? The bleak twigs overhead
In a full-hearted evensong
??? Of joy illimited;
An aged thrush, frail, gaunt, and small
??? In blast-beruffled plume,
Had chosen thus to fling his soul
??? Upon the growing gloom.

So little cause for carolings
??? Of such ecstatic sound
Was written on terrestrial things
??? Afar or nigh around,
That I could think there trembled through
??? His happy good-night air
Some blessed Hope, whereof he knew
??? And I was unaware.

Source: http://feeds.slate.com/click.phdo?i=08825c341194706ed5b0ff311003144d

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Domain Industry Experts Share 2013 Predictions (Part 2) | Elliot's Blog

On Friday, I posted predictions for 2013 from many domain industry experts. Since I received so many great replies, I broke it up into a two part series. The second set of domain industry predictions is below.

Thank you again to the experts who offered their insight! These predictions are in random order. As always, I welcome your 2013 predictions.

Rob Grant, CEO, WebMediaProperties.com ? ?Domains and Darwin

If you love Darwin, you?re in for a real treat!

As 2013 dawns, we are about to enter the next, (and very prolific) stage in the evolution of domain names?

The birth of thousands of new, fledgling TLD?s,?encompassing?the entire internet food chain, and spanning a vast spectrum of businesses and industries.

What follows will be a remarkable event to watch? A very chaotic and turbulent period akin to Darwin?s ?Survival Of The Fittest? for domain names.

Of the projected one thousand eight hundred new TLD?s scheduled to go live, only a small fraction will ultimately survive (with a good many dead on arrival).

The vast majority of these new TLD?s will go the way of the unfortunate Dodo, a rare bird best known for its brief existince on earth.

For anyone planning to speculate on these new TLD?s, I would urge great caution. Nature can be a wonderful teacher??

Elliot Noss, President and CEO, Tucows ? ?in 2013 there will be one new gTLD that will be a huge success, and it will be a geo. there will also be a number of small fizzles.?

Paul Nicks/Product Development ? Aftermarket Director ? GoDaddy.com?and?Rich Merdinger/Vice President of Product Development ? Domains ? GoDaddy.com?- ?Existing TLDs see a bump in aftermarket pricing as the original gTLDs are seen as a safe harbor in the impending sea of new gTLD confusion. However, initial confusion by the general public will dissipate quickly as people become accustomed to identifying Web addresses by string[dot]string, as opposed to the common string[dot]com.? Paul and Rich?offered several additional predictions, which you can?read here.

Andrew Rosener, CEO, Media Options ? ?Just as we saw record setting domain sales in 2012, I believe the market will continue its rebound and we?ll see domain sales setting record prices and in record volume in 2013. Unfortunately, many of these sales continue to, and will continue to, go unnoticed as they are under NDA?s and privacy. However, I can say first hand that the last 6 months of 2012 were the strongest we have seen in terms of End User sales in the last 5 years, despite the weakness and lack of liquidity in the reseller market.

I expect that companies and investors alike will continue in 2013 to increase their understanding of domain values, in large part due to the media attention that will be given to the release of the new gTLD?s which will bring greater attention from the general public on the domain industry as a whole. However, I also believe that the complexities and conflicts brought forth in the release and management of so many new gTLD?s will only prove to reinforce the the value of powerful generic & brandable .com domain names.

Over the last 36 months companies have been stockpiling cash, as have investors in all asset classes. As we see signs of a recovering economy, despite continued hurdles, I believe we will see a new wave of investment entering the domain market like never before. While this may not provide the daily liquidity that so many domain investors are desperate for due to falling or stagnating ppc income, the owners of premium .com domains, particularly short (2 ? 5 characters) & highly brandable .com domains, will be rewarded dearly as the availability of such rare assets and brands will become ever more scarce and ever more sought after. That being said, those domain investors or owners who need to sell proactively, in a short time frame, will likely still face an illiquid market in 2013 and be forced to sell into a depressed wholesale market with few ready buyers. End user education, negotiation and deal making takes time and patience; it?s always a different story when a buyer comes to you versus a proactive sales campaign.

I believe we are still in the early stages of internet growth and that domain values are still at only a fraction of their potential. One day, there will be a ?spot price? for premium domain names and readily available credit from primary lenders who accept your domain name equity as collateral at reasonable interest rates. There will be protection mechanisms in place that will create a ?floor price? for premium domain assets such as insurance products, options trading & new traffic monetization models. When all of this is introduced to the domain industry, I believe that domain values will be 3-5 times that of today?s market. While this may not and likely will not happen in 2013, I do believe that the coming year will be a critical next step towards achieving such objectives.?

Theo Develegas, General Manager, Acroplex, LLC ? ?The new year will be an extension of 2012, more or less: a weak economy will lead many to fold their cards; but it?s those that ?bluff? who will get ahead. When the going gets tough, the tough get going. It will be an opportunity for smart investors to snatch great deals and acquire domains at 200+% below face value. There will be a lot of white noise from satellite TLDs currently in the works by ICANN, but nothing will be touching the original three TLDs, com, net and org. The new year will bring several mergers in the domain industry, as players acquire strategic posts for bigger games in the future. It?s going to be exciting times, particularly now that the Mayans are planning to finally issue the 2013 calendar and beyond!?

Brian Gilbert, Innovation HQ ? ?Parking revenue?s will increase. Something we haven?t seen in quite some time.

I predict Google will lose 2% to 5% of the search market. This is in large part to Panda and Penguin updates that have been effective at getting rid of spammy sites, but did not replace lost results with sites that truly give people what they?re after.?

Nat Cohen, CEO, Telepathy ? ??In 2013 I expect to see growing awareness by businesses that premium domains are extremely valuable as online brands.? 2013 will also likely see the increasing globalization of the domain industry as e-commerce grows rapidly throughout the world.?

Paul Goldstone, iGoldrush.com?- ?It?s an exciting year ahead with a plethora of new domain extensions hitting the market. ?Will end users take the bait or will they stick with what they?re familiar? ?There are supporters on both sides of the fence. ?Either way I think generally people will continue to be more focused than before, working from a quality not quantity standpoint, evidenced by the increasing domain sales.?

Thies Lindenthal, IDNX ? Thies wrote up an extensive prediction for the domain industry in 2013, which can be found here.

Michele Neylon, Founder and CEO, Blacknight?- ?2013 could prove to be a very interesting year for the internet industry. I expect to see a lot more pressure coming from governments across the globe to regulate all aspects of the internet industry. In 2011 / 2012 we had SOPA / PIPA in the US and the WCIT / ITU conference. 2013 will see more and more of this as governments try to exert more pressure and control over what has become such an integral part of people?s lives. The domain name industry is going to be impacted and is in fact already being impacted (the new RAA for ICANN registrars will be quite a different beast). Expect to see registries and registrars being forced to take a more proactive stance to deal with online criminal activity. The big problem will be getting the balance right ie. stemming online abuse without negatively impacting the bulk of internet users and domain name registrants. We live in interesting times.?

Anthony Peppler, Retired (Father of 3 Year old twins)?- Tony wrote several predictions that I have included in a separate post.

Source: http://www.elliotsblog.com/domain-industry-experts-share-2013-predictions-part-2-9181

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Michael Hudson: America's Deceptive 2012 Fiscal Cliff, Part II ? The ...

By Michael Hudson, a research professor of Economics at University of Missouri, Kansas City, and a research associate at the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College. His latest book is ?The Bubble and Beyond.?

Today?s economic warfare is not the kind waged a century ago between labor and its industrial employers. Finance has moved to capture the economy at large, industry and mining, public infrastructure (via privatization) and now even the educational system. (At over $1 trillion, U.S. student loan debt came to exceed credit-card debt in 2012.) The weapon in this financial warfare is no larger military force. The tactic is to load economies (governments, companies and families) with debt, siphon off their income as debt service and then foreclose when debtors lack the means to pay. Indebting government gives creditors a lever to pry away land, public infrastructure and other property in the public domain. Indebting companies enables creditors to seize employee pension savings. And indebting labor means that it no longer is necessary to hire strikebreakers to attack union organizers and strikers.

Workers have become so deeply indebted on their home mortgages, credit cards and other bank debt that they fear to strike or even to complain about working conditions. Losing work means missing payments on their monthly bills, enabling banks to jack up interest rates to levels that used to be deemed usurious. So debt peonage and unemployment loom on top of the wage slavery that was the main focus of class warfare a century ago. And to cap matters, credit-card bank lobbyists have rewritten the bankruptcy laws to curtail debtor rights, and the referees appointed to adjudicate disputes brought by debtors and consumers are subject to veto from the banks and businesses that are mainly responsible for inflicting injury.

The aim of financial warfare is not merely to acquire land, natural resources and key infrastructure rents as in military warfare; it is to centralize creditor control over society. In contrast to the promise of democratic reform nurturing a middle class a century ago, we are witnessing a regression to a world of special privilege in which one must inherit wealth in order to avoid debt and job dependency.

The emerging financial oligarchy seeks to shift taxes off banks and their major customers (real estate, natural resources and monopolies) onto labor. Given the need to win voter acquiescence, this aim is best achieved by rolling back everyone?s taxes. The easiest way to do this is to shrink government spending, headed by Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. Yet these are the programs that enjoy the strongest voter support. This fact has inspired what may be called the Big Lie of our epoch: the pretense that governments can only create money to pay the financial sector, and that the beneficiaries of social programs should be entirely responsible for paying for Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, not the wealthy. This Big Lie is used to reverse the concept of progressive taxation, turning the tax system into a ploy of the financial sector to levy tribute on the economy at large.

Financial lobbyists quickly discovered that the easiest ploy to shift the cost of social programs onto labor is to conceal new taxes as user fees, using the proceeds to cut taxes for the elite 1%. This fiscal sleight-of-hand was the aim of the 1983 Greenspan Commission. It confused people into thinking that government budgets are like family budgets, concealing the fact that governments can finance their spending by creating their own money. They do not have to borrow, or even to tax (at least, not tax mainly the 99%).

The Greenspan tax shift played on the fact that most people see the need to save for their own retirement. The carefully crafted and well-subsidized deception at work is that Social Security requires a similar pre-funding ? by raising wage withholding. The trick is to convince wage earners it is fair to tax them more to pay for government social spending, yet not also to ask the banking sector to pay similar a user fee to pre-save for the next time it itself will need bailouts to cover its losses. Also asymmetrical is the fact that nobody suggests that the government set up a fund to pay for future wars, so that future adventures such as Iraq or Afghanistan will not ?run a deficit? to burden the budget. So the first deception is to treat only Social Security and medical care as user fees. The second is to aggravate matters by insisting that such fees be paid long in advance, by pre-saving.

There is no inherent need to single out any particular area of public spending as causing a budget deficit if it is not pre-funded. It is a travesty of progressive tax policy to only oblige workers whose wages are less than (at present) $105,000 to pay this FICA wage withholding, exempting higher earnings, capital gains, rental income and profits. The raison d??tre for taxing the 99% for Social Security and Medicare is simply to avoid taxing wealth, by falling on low wage income at a much higher rate than that of the wealthy. This is not how the original U.S. income tax was created at its inception in 1913. During its early years only the wealthiest 1% of the population had to file a return. There were few loopholes, and capital gains were taxed at the same rate as earned income.

The government?s seashore insurance program, for instance, recently incurred a $1 trillion liability to rebuild the private beaches and homes that Hurricane Sandy washed out. Why should this insurance subsidy at below-commercial rates for the wealthy minority who live in this scenic high-risk property be treated as normal spending, but not Social Security? Why save in advance by a special wage tax to pay for these programs that benefit the general population, but not levy a similar ?user fee? tax to pay for flood insurance for beachfront homes or war? And while we are at it, why not save another $13 trillion in advance to pay for the next bailout of Wall Street when debt deflation causes another crisis to drain the budget?

But on whom should we levy these taxes? To impose user fees for the beachfront reconstruction would require a tax falling mainly on the wealthy owners of such properties. Their dominant role in funding the election campaigns of the Congressmen and Senators who draw up the tax code suggests why they are able to avoid prepaying for the cost of rebuilding their seashore property. Such taxation is only for wage earners on their retirement income, not the 1% on their own vacation and retirement homes.

By not raising taxes on the wealthy or using the central bank to monetize spending on anything except bailing out the banks and subsidizing the financial sector, the government follows a pro-creditor policy. Tax favoritism for the wealthy deepens the budget deficit, forcing governments to borrow more. Paying interest on this debt diverts revenue from being spent on goods and services. This fiscal austerity shrinks markets, reducing tax revenue to the brink of default. This enables bondholders to treat the government in the same way that banks treat a bankrupt family, forcing the debtor to sell off assets ? in this case the public domain as if it were the family silver, as Britain?s Prime Minister Harold MacMillan characterized Margaret Thatcher?s privatization sell-offs.

In an Orwellian doublethink twist this privatization is done in the name of free markets, despite being imposed by global financial institutions whose administrators are not democratically elected. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), European Central Bank (ECB) and EU bureaucracy treat governments like banks treat homeowners unable to pay their mortgage: by foreclosing. Greece, for example, has been told to start selling off prime tourist sites, ports, islands, offshore gas rights, water and sewer systems, roads and other property.

Sovereign governments are, in principle, free of such pressure. That is what makes them sovereign. They are not obliged to settle public debts and budget deficits by asset selloffs. They do not need to borrow more domestic currency; they can create it. This self-financing keeps the national patrimony in public hands rather than turning assets over to private buyers, or having to borrow from banks and bondholders.

Source: http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/12/michael-hudson-americas-deceptive-2012-fiscal-cliff-part-ii-the-financial-war-against-the-economy-at-large.html

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Tuesday, January 1, 2013

From partisan perspective, ?cliff? may not be that scary (Washington Post)

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I have posted a home for sale by owner and I cannot ... - Zillow Real ...

Hi user5594130 -

I'm seeing two listing for the same address here and here which are both under your account. You can cancel one of these by going to the home details page, hover over Edit and click Cancel listing.

You can also visit our Zillow Help Center for other helpful information.

Thank you.

Neil
Zillow Customer Support

Source: http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/I-have-posted-a-home-for-sale-by-owner-and-I-cannot-find-it-when-I-search-for-it-can-someone-help-me/472571/

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President Obama Urges Illinois Lawmakers To Legalize Gay ...

President Obama issued a statement Saturday urging the Illinois General Assembly to legalize gay marriage as state lawmakers prepare to take up the issue this week.

White House spokesman Shin Inouye highlighted the rare nature of the president?s move, telling the Chicago Sun-Times the while the president ?does not weigh in on every measure being considered by state legislatures, he believes in treating everyone fairly and equally, with dignity and respect.? He went on,

?As he has said, his personal view is that it?s wrong to prevent couples who are in loving, committed relationships, and want to marry, from doing so. Were the President still in the Illinois State Legislature, he would support this measure that would treat all Illinois couples equally.?

The act is called the ?Religious Freedom and Marriage Fairness Act,? and is sponsored by Democratic State Senator Heather Steans (D-Chicago) and Democratic State Representative Greg Harris (D-Chicago). They plan to put the measure up for a January vote.

The Sun-Times notes, ?The practical impact of Obama urging his home state to legalize gay marriage is to prod?and give political cover to?reluctant Democrats from conservative suburban and Downstate districts.?

Illinois already has an effective civil union law, but opposition to marriage equality is expected to be strong among the ?Coalition to Protect Children and Marriage,? which includes the Illinois Family Institute, Abstinence and Marriage Partnership, Illinois Citizens for Life PAC, Lake County Right to Life and Concerned Christian Americans.
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>> Follow Anjali Sareen (@AnjaliSareen) On Twitter

Source: http://www.mediaite.com/online/obama-urges-illinois-lawmakers-to-legalize-gay-marriage/

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